Six markets, one method.
Every member works in one market. Each page shows what we research there, what's trading right now, and who's on the team.
Elections & Politics
Polls against prices through the 2026 midterms — margins, turnout, and who calls it first. The oldest prediction-market question, and this semester it's live.
Sports
The deepest markets and the cleanest ground truth. Win probabilities, spreads, and in-game price moves measured against the box score.
Crypto
Price-threshold and protocol-event markets where the order book and the chain are both public. The easiest place to do microstructure research end to end.
Economics & Finance
Fed decisions, CPI prints, jobs reports, earnings. Scheduled releases make natural experiments — the price minutes before against the number.
Tech & Science
Model releases, product launches, approvals, launches that slip. Fast-resolving questions with strong priors and thin liquidity — good for finding where markets are wrong.
Climate & Weather
Daily temperature and precipitation markets that resolve every day — the most calibration reps you can get in a semester, with a published probabilistic baseline to beat.