Prediction@Illinois Fall 2026 · Applications open Apply
Market · Crypto

Crypto

Price-threshold and protocol-event markets where the order book and the chain are both public. The easiest place to do microstructure research end to end.

Resolves from Exchange prices, on-chain state
Live

On the board now

The most-traded crypto events on Polymarket at page load. Research material, not a recommendation.

No crypto events among the most-traded markets right now.
Open questions

Questions we work on

Each becomes a semester project for a small team, with a written result at the end.

Q1Does longshot bias in sub-5¢ contracts survive fee-adjusted returns?
Q2How does price-ladder market depth track spot volatility?
Q3Do protocol-event markets lead or lag on-chain signals?

Join the crypto track

Rolling admissions for Fall 2026. All majors, no experience required.

Apply for Fall 2026