Prediction@Illinois Fall 2026 · Applications open Apply
Market · Sports

Sports

The deepest markets and the cleanest ground truth. Win probabilities, spreads, and in-game price moves measured against the box score.

Resolves from Final scoresLead Yicheng Yang
Live

On the board now

The most-traded sports events on Polymarket at page load. Research material, not a recommendation.

No sports events among the most-traded markets right now.
Open questions

Questions we work on

Each becomes a semester project for a small team, with a written result at the end.

Q1Does the pre-game favorite win as often as its price implies?
Q2How do in-game prices react to scoring runs, and do they overshoot?
Q3How does liquidity differ across leagues, and what does it do to spreads?
People

Sports team

Yicheng Yang

Yicheng Yang

President

Computer Science & Economics · Class of 2027

Join the sports track

Rolling admissions for Fall 2026. All majors, no experience required.

Apply for Fall 2026